The state weather bureau said on Monday that two to four tropical cyclones are expected to enter or develop inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this September.
Based on climatological tracks, DOST-PAGASA noted that some tropical cyclones may take recurving paths toward Japan and Taiwan, while others could head toward northern Luzon, Hong Kong, or Vietnam.
“For September, dalawa hanggang apat na bagyo or tropical cyclones ang ating inaasahan,” weather specialist Daniel James Villamil said.
“Yung mga bagyong ganito yung track, inaasahan natin na maliit yung chance na magkaroon ng direct effect sa ating bansa at less likely rin ito na palalakasin o paiiralin yung ating southwest monsoon o yung hangi habagat,” he added.
As of early Monday, a low pressure area was spotted 695 kilometers east of Daet, Camarines Norte. He said it has a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within 24 hours.
However, combined with the habagat, it will bring cloudy skies with scattered rain showers over Central and Southern Luzon, including Metro Manila, and the Visayas.
Weather outlook
– Luzon:
– Central and Southern Luzon, including Metro Manila: Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms
– Bicol Region, Quezon, Bulacan, and Rizal: Rains from the low pressure area
– Western Luzon: Rains due to the southwest monsoon
– Northern Luzon (Ilocos, Cordillera, Cagayan Valley): Fair weather, partly cloudy with possible thunderstorms
– Palawan: Rains from the southwest monsoon, with 50 to 100 millimeters possible, especially on the western side
– Visayas:
– Entire region: Rains from the habagat, easing in Central and Eastern Visayas by midweek
– Western Visayas (including Antique): 50 to 100 millimeters possible
– Mindanao:
– Generally fair weather in most areas, with isolated thunderstorms
– Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, and Caraga: Monsoon rains, though weaker compared to previous days
– Rainfall forecast:
– 50 to 100 millimeters possible in Quezon, Camarines provinces, Palawan, Occidental Mindoro, and Antique
– By Tuesday, only Occidental Mindoro is likely to still experience 50 to 100 millimeters of rainfall
– Seas: No gale warning; slight to moderate waves nationwide
